Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 10.397176 11.982354 13.682653 15.636802 17.815188 20.163385 22.880432
2025-09-14 8.135869 10.247495 12.674892 15.651271 19.180751 23.210235 28.134832
2025-09-21 6.842521 9.225728 12.112420 15.824940 20.427653 25.899234 32.843605
2025-09-28 5.841063 8.357901 11.547174 15.817832 21.311914 28.062530 36.894687
2025-10-05 5.230428 7.882609 11.376887 16.219162 22.644185 30.756733 41.636992
2025-10-12 4.691797 7.422291 11.151908 16.484590 23.760066 33.171951 46.073337
2025-10-19 4.187298 6.941193 10.834616 16.568037 24.595512 35.214647 50.063511
2025-10-26 3.612752 6.285898 10.201166 16.141437 24.676920 36.220490 52.680535
2025-11-02 3.156780 5.754775 9.690535 15.832137 24.872441 37.350475 55.463686
2025-11-09 2.759243 5.267978 9.196511 15.496212 24.986312 38.341291 58.056751
2025-11-16 2.425904 4.846565 8.761330 15.205576 25.129442 39.352114 60.682095
2025-11-23 2.099151 4.396679 8.237931 14.732271 24.957799 39.882823 62.619284
2025-11-30 1.911161 4.174701 8.071650 14.815207 25.638464 41.684707 66.456761
2025-12-07 1.731330 3.946341 7.873644 14.828656 26.203872 43.328063 70.108498
2025-12-14 1.595742 3.785535 7.775936 14.994774 27.006665 45.341614 74.352119
2025-12-21 1.448597 3.583494 7.586265 14.987975 27.522739 46.926619 77.992067
2025-12-28 1.370085 3.511969 7.625331 15.371923 28.683206 49.528839 83.225851
2026-01-04 1.281249 3.407763 7.593793 15.625896 29.633199 51.826222 88.050371
2026-01-11 1.179345 3.262319 7.470960 15.705749 30.288465 53.673106 92.223985
2026-01-18 1.033535 2.998323 7.094482 15.297558 30.089358 54.146572 94.269357
2026-01-25 0.915403 2.781576 6.791439 15.001659 30.061922 54.882931 96.731377
2026-02-01 0.807684 2.573853 6.487161 14.680340 29.968210 55.497989 99.004848
2026-02-08 0.715338 2.390396 6.216110 14.402384 29.932410 56.197403 101.419208